نوع مقاله : مقالات

نویسندگان

1 دانشگاه اصفهان

2 اصفهان

چکیده

در قرن بیست و یکم، پدیده تروریسم روندها و ویژگی‌های متمایزی از خود نشان داده است. با اینکه تروریسم منحصر به این قرن نیست، اما بعد از حادثه تروریستی 11 سپتامبر، توجه جهانی بیشتر از همیشه به گروه‌ها و سازمان‌های تروریستی جلب گردید و درواقع از این زمان بود که مسئله تروریسم و چگونگی مبارزه با آن به یکی از پارادایم‌های تجزیه‌وتحلیل روابط بین‌الملل و سیاست جهانی تبدیل شد. بنابراین با توجه به سطح رو به رشد تهدیدات تروریستی، دامنه بین‌المللی آن و امکان استفاده تروریسم از سلاح‌های غیر متعارف، تبیین و شناخت تحولات آینده تروریسم بین‌الملل برای مقابله با آن ضروری به نظر می‌رسد. بنابراین هدف از نوشتن این مقاله پاسخگویی به این پرسش است که در سال‌های آینده، چه تغییراتی در روند، روش و فعالیت‌های گروه‌های تروریستی ایجادمی‌شود. تجزیه‌وتحلیل داده‌های موجود مبتنی بر روش تحلیل روند نمایانگر آن است که استفاده از سلاح‌های غیر متعارف توسط تروریست‌ها در آینده گسترش می‌یابد، تهدیدات ناشی از تروریسم سایبری و اینترنتی در آینده افزایش می‌یابد، تروریست‌ها در آینده از حملات انتحاری بیشتری استفاده خواهند کرد و در مدیریت تهدیدات تروریستی در آینده، تروریسم وطنی نقش مهمی ایفا می‌کند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

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